Axis Bank Q4 preview: Deposit growth to outpace loans, NIM may face pressure

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Axis Bank Q4 preview: Deposit growth to outpace loans, NIM may face pressure

Team FS

24/Apr/2024

Key Points:

Earnings Outlook: Analysts foresee Axis Bank's Profit After Tax (PAT) rebounding to ₹6,207.4 crore in Q4 FY24, marking a significant turnaround from the previous quarter's loss.
Financial Metrics: Despite expected pressure on Net Interest Margin (NIM), the bank is projected to report a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase in Net Interest Income (NII), with stable asset quality.
Challenges and Opportunities: Analysts remain vigilant about rising slippages and NIM pressure, while highlighting Axis Bank's focus on high-yielding loan segments for sustained growth.

As anticipation mounts ahead of Axis Bank's fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, investors and analysts are closely eyeing the bank's performance amidst a dynamic economic landscape.

Earnings Outlook:
Some sources project a notable turnaround for Axis Bank, with expectations pinned on a Profit After Tax (PAT) of approximately ₹6,207.4 crore for the January-March period. This forecast reflects a remarkable shift from the preceding quarter's loss, signaling a potential resurgence in the bank's profitability.

Financial Metrics:
While the anticipated PAT turnaround steals the spotlight, attention is also drawn to key financial metrics shaping Axis Bank's performance. Deposit growth is expected to outpace loan growth, underscoring the bank's liquidity position. However, analysts caution that Net Interest Margin (NIM) may encounter pressure, posing a challenge amidst the evolving interest rate environment. Despite this, the bank is poised to report a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase in Net Interest Income (NII), reflecting its ability to navigate through challenges while maintaining a steady revenue stream. Additionally, Axis Bank's asset quality is anticipated to remain stable, providing a reassuring signal amidst the market fluctuations.

Challenges and Opportunities:
While optimism surrounds Axis Bank's anticipated earnings turnaround, analysts remain cognizant of the hurdles that lie ahead. The expected rise in slippages and potential pressure on NIM present areas of concern, necessitating a thorough assessment of the bank's risk management strategies. However, amidst these challenges, opportunities emerge as Axis Bank maintains its focus on high-yielding loan segments, a strategy observed in recent quarters. This strategic approach underscores the bank's commitment to sustainable growth and value creation for its stakeholders.

As investors await the unveiling of Axis Bank's fourth-quarter results, the narrative encapsulates a blend of anticipation, optimism, and cautious vigilance. Against the backdrop of evolving market dynamics, Axis Bank's performance serves as a barometer of resilience and adaptability in the financial sector. In the midst of uncertainties, the bank's ability to navigate challenges while capitalizing on growth opportunities reaffirms its position as a key player in India's banking landscape.

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Axis Bank Q4 preview: Deposit growth to outpace loans, NIM may face pressure

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