India's Economic Ascendancy: Forecasts, Projections, and Global Influence

Team Finance Saathi

    31/May/2024

Key Points:

             1: India is projected to be the fastest-growing major economy from 2024 to 2028, outpacing China, according to the EIU.
             2: S&P Global projects India to become the world's third-largest economy by 2030, driven by its youthful demographic and rising urban household incomes.
             3: Rating agencies like Fitch and Barclays have revised India's GDP growth projection upwards, citing strong domestic demand and sustained confidence,                         while IMF raised India's GDP growth projection for FY25.

India's economic prowess is poised for unprecedented growth, as forecasts and projections paint a rosy picture of its trajectory. The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) predicts India to be the fastest-growing major economy from 2024 to 2028, surpassing even China, its Asian counterpart. This forecast underscores India's resilience and potential to emerge as a global economic powerhouse in the coming years.

According to the EIU's Global Outlook report, India's ascending economic influence is set to reshape the geopolitical landscape, with BRICS nations projected to surpass the G7 in nominal GDP by the mid-2040s. This shift in global economic dynamics underscores the growing significance of emerging economies like India, whose rapid growth trajectory is set to redefine the global economic order.

The optimism surrounding India's economic outlook is further bolstered by projections from leading agencies like S&P Global, which anticipates India to become the world's third-largest economy by 2030. Driven by its youthful demographic and rising urban household incomes, India is poised to overtake economic powerhouses like Germany and Japan, cementing its status as a key player on the global stage.

Rating agencies such as Fitch and Barclays have also revised India's GDP growth projections upwards, citing strong domestic demand and sustained confidence in the economy. The finance ministry's April economic review corroborates these projections, highlighting continued economic momentum in the first quarter of FY25, following an impressive performance in FY24 that exceeded market expectations.

Moreover, the positive outlook on India's economic prospects is underscored by international institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised India's GDP growth projection for FY25. Reflecting buoyant domestic demand and robust economic fundamentals, IMF's upward revision signals confidence in India's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amidst global economic uncertainties.

However, amidst India's economic ascendancy, challenges loom on the horizon. The specter of increased fragmentation and regionalization in the global economy threatens to hamper growth, as industrial policies, including sanctions and trade tensions, escalate in strategic sectors. These challenges necessitate proactive measures to navigate the complex global economic landscape and ensure sustained growth and prosperity for India and the world at large.

In conclusion, India's economic ascendancy heralds a new era of opportunities and challenges on the global stage. With forecasts pointing towards rapid growth and increasing influence, India is poised to redefine the global economic order and shape the trajectory of the 21st century. As India's economic journey unfolds, stakeholders must remain vigilant and proactive in harnessing its immense potential for the benefit of all.

Also Read : UPI Dominates Digital Payments Landscape in India, Shows RBI Report

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