Malaysian Palm Oil Futures Dip Over 1% Amid Profit-Taking and High Stockpiles
Team FS
08/Oct/2024

Malaysian palm oil futures dropped over 1%, falling below MYR 4,290 per tonne, ending a two-day rally.
High palm oil stockpiles in Malaysia are expected to rise by 3.55% to 1.95 million metric tons in September.
Strong demand in India ahead of Diwali is expected to support prices amid easing import duties.
Malaysian palm oil futures faced a notable decline on Tuesday, plunging over 1% to fall below MYR 4,290 per tonne, effectively halting a two-day rally that had seen prices soar. This downturn was primarily driven by profit-taking among traders following the recent contracts hitting their highest levels in six months the previous day. The drop in prices was also influenced by declines in Chicago soyoil, which set a bearish tone for palm oil trading.
Simultaneously, crude oil prices experienced a tumble after reaching their highest levels in over a month. Market participants opted to cash in their gains, contributing to the downward pressure on palm oil futures. Compounding these challenges are the high palm oil stockpiles reported in Malaysia, with Reuters forecasting a 3.55% rise in September stocks, likely totaling 1.95 million metric tons. The increase in stockpiles has further dampened the bullish sentiment that had recently buoyed palm oil prices.
However, limiting the bearish momentum in the market was the reopening of the Dalian market following China's Golden Week holiday, which is expected to provide some support to palm oil prices. Moreover, the Indian market, which is the top buyer of palm oil, is anticipated to see strong near-term demand ahead of the Diwali festive season. The easing of rising import duties is expected to further bolster this demand, adding a layer of complexity to price movements in the coming weeks.
On another note, the chairman of Malaysia's Palm Oil Council expressed confidence that the European rules banning imports linked to deforestation would be deferred. This optimism follows the European Commission's proposal for a one-year delay, which could alleviate some of the pressures faced by Malaysian palm oil exports.
As traders and investors navigate the dynamic landscape of palm oil prices, the interplay between stock levels, global demand, and regulatory changes will be crucial in shaping market directions. Keeping abreast of these developments will be essential for stakeholders aiming to capitalize on opportunities in the palm oil sector.
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