Mazagon Dock hits record high as defence stocks rally amid border tensions

Team Finance Saathi

    30/Apr/2025

What's covered under the Article:

  1. Mazagon Dock shares hit a record high with 15% gain in two days, extending strong monthly performance.

  2. Defence stocks rally amid India-Pakistan border tensions; investor sentiment turns bullish on defence sector.

  3. Technical analysis suggests Mazagon Dock may touch ₹3,950 in six months with buying support on dips.

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd., a key Defence Public Sector Undertaking (PSU), has captured market attention by hitting an all-time high on April 29, 2025. The stock has been on an upward trajectory for the second consecutive day, extending its recent bullish momentum.

Strong Momentum and Recovery From February Lows

The shares of Mazagon Dock made a significant recovery from ₹1,917, the low marked on February 19, 2025. Since then, the stock has gained over 60%, highlighting strong investor confidence and renewed buying interest. Just in the past two trading sessions, the stock has soared 15%, continuing the 24% rally seen in March 2025.

On Tuesday alone, Mazagon Dock closed 8.7% higher at ₹3,029, setting a new record. This brings the stock’s total gains in 2025 to around 35%, making it one of the standout performers in the defence sector.

Geo-Political Tensions Boosting Defence Stocks

The rising border tensions between India and Pakistan, following the Pahalgam terrorist attack, have placed the defence sector in the spotlight. With the Indian government granting full operational freedom to the armed forces, investor sentiment has clearly shifted toward companies catering to national security and defence infrastructure.

As a result, not only Mazagon Dock but also other defence peers have surged up to 30% in just two trading sessions. This sector-wide rally is driven by expectations of increased government orders and capital expenditure in defence.

Technical Outlook Suggests Further Upside

According to Sacchitanand Uttekar of Tradebulls, Mazagon Dock is entering a new bullish phase. Here’s a breakdown of the technical indicators he mentions:

  • Rounding Bottom Formation: The stock has completed a one-year accumulation phase on its weekly chart, forming a rounding bottom – a classic bullish pattern that signals a long-term uptrend.

  • V-Shaped Recovery: A breakout from a ‘V’-shaped recovery has been confirmed with a neckline placed near ₹2,780. This kind of breakout typically precedes a strong price movement, and the immediate upside target is estimated at ₹3,480.

  • ADX (Average Directional Index): The weekly ADX is nearing the critical 20 level, which often indicates the start of a powerful directional move. Breaching this level could signal sustained upward momentum.

Strategic Recommendations for Investors

The suggested positional strategy, as per technical analysts, is:

  • Accumulate on Dips: Buy Mazagon Dock shares on dips up to ₹2,800.

  • Positional Target: The medium-term target is set at ₹3,950.

  • Stop Loss: A weekly closing stop loss should be placed below ₹2,610 to manage risk.

This strategy is based on the premise of a sustained trend continuation following the technical breakout and the bullish ADX development.


Why Mazagon Dock Is in Focus

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders is not a newcomer in the Indian stock market's defence segment. Being one of the major shipbuilding yards in India, it plays a crucial role in manufacturing warships and submarines for the Indian Navy and Coast Guard.

The company has historically benefited from the Indian government’s Make in India and Atmanirbhar Bharat initiatives, with several large-scale contracts awarded over the years.

Past Performance and Sectoral Backing

  • The company’s order book remains robust, with several upcoming projects in the pipeline.

  • As defence budgets expand and tensions rise at international borders, the demand for indigenous defence manufacturing is increasing, benefiting players like Mazagon Dock.

Outlook for Defence Stocks in India

The defence sector has emerged as a favourite among investors seeking safety amid geopolitical uncertainty. Factors driving this sentiment include:

  • Increased government spending on indigenous defence projects.

  • Rising border incidents with Pakistan and tensions with China.

  • Supportive policies from the Ministry of Defence.

  • Global recognition of India as a defence manufacturing hub.

With the sector showing strong technical indicators and strong fundamental backing, defence PSUs could continue to be in favour in the coming quarters.


Conclusion

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd.’s recent performance is not just a short-term rally but rather a sign of a structurally strong uptrend backed by technical patterns and sectoral tailwinds. With ongoing border tensions and a clear focus on strengthening indigenous defence capabilities, the company seems poised to maintain its positive momentum.

Investors with a medium- to long-term horizon can consider strategic accumulation on dips, especially if the stock consolidates around ₹2,800–₹2,850 levels. However, caution is advised below ₹2,610, where the current breakout may get invalidated.

With an immediate target of ₹3,480 and a longer-term target of ₹3,950, Mazagon Dock may continue to be a strong contender among defence-focused stocks in 2025.

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