Nifty 50, Sensex Close Lower on Profit Booking; IT Stocks Lose Momentum

Team FS

    23/Oct/2024

Key Points Covered:

Nifty 50 and Sensex Close Lower: Both indices ended the session in the red, driven by profit booking in financial stocks.

Initial IT Stocks Rally: The market opened strong on IT stock gains but later dipped as selling intensified in the financial sector.

Global Market Influence: Rising U.S. Treasury yields and uncertainty over the upcoming U.S. elections contributed to a weak market sentiment.

Earnings Season Impact: Stocks of companies that missed earnings estimates saw sharp sell-offs, while outperformers hit fresh highs.

Crude Oil Prices Slip: Global oil prices dipped on news of rising U.S. crude inventories, indicating weaker demand.

Nifty 50 and Sensex Drop Due to Profit Booking in Financials
Indian stock markets saw another lackluster trading session on Wednesday, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex closing marginally lower due to fag-end profit booking. The Nifty 50 fell by 0.15% to close at 24,436 points, while the Sensex dropped 0.16%, finishing the day at ₹80,090 points. The initial rally, led by IT stocks, was quickly offset by a downturn in the financial sector, causing both indices to remain flat.

Investors are adopting a cautious stance as expensive valuations, coupled with subdued earnings results for Q2FY25, continue to weigh on market sentiment. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have also been net sellers, adding pressure to the market. Rising geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East, along with uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. elections, have added further risk to global markets, prompting traders to book profits on every price rise.

IT Stocks Rally Short-lived

Early in the session, IT stocks were the main drivers behind the market's upward movement, as the sector continues to recover from previous selling pressure. Major IT players like TCS, Infosys, and Wipro saw initial gains due to positive global cues and a renewed focus on the digitization wave. However, as the session progressed, the gains were quickly wiped out as selling pressure mounted in the broader financial pack.

Financial Sector Drags Indices Lower

The financial sector was the biggest loser of the day, with heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Bajaj Finance witnessing sharp declines. Profit booking in these stocks was a key contributor to the market’s flat close, as investors grew cautious of the sector’s high valuations amidst mixed earnings results for Q2FY25.

Global Cues Add to Market Uncertainty

Globally, market sentiment remains fragile due to rising U.S. Treasury yields and growing political uncertainty. U.S. stock index futures showed a downward trend as investors digested corporate earnings, with Dow Jones Futures falling by 0.4%, S&P 500 Futures down 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures declining 0.3%.

The rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, reaching a near three-month high, is creating further volatility in the markets. The uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections is also contributing to the cautious sentiment among investors globally.

Q2 Earnings Season: Mixed Reactions in the Market

The ongoing Q2FY25 earnings season has been a crucial factor in shaping market movements. Companies that reported earnings below market expectations faced significant sell-offs, while those that exceeded expectations saw their stock prices surge to fresh record highs.

In particular, some major companies in the financial and automotive sectors have faced investor backlash for missing estimates. Conversely, top performers in sectors like technology and pharmaceuticals have continued to perform well, with shares reaching all-time highs.

U.S. Market Focus: Tesla and Other Majors Report Earnings

Over in the U.S., corporate earnings are also under the spotlight. Investors are watching closely as Tesla prepares to report its Q3 earnings after its third-quarter deliveries fell short of expectations. The company's much-anticipated robotaxi reveal also underwhelmed analysts, adding pressure to its stock performance.

Other major companies reporting earnings this week include AT&T, IBM, Coca-Cola, and Bank of America. Meanwhile, McDonald's faced a sharp decline of nearly 6% in pre-market trading due to concerns over an E. coli outbreak linked to its burgers. On the other hand, Texas Instruments saw a 4% rise in its stock after beating Q3 earnings estimates, despite a somewhat underwhelming outlook for the current quarter.

Fed Policy Outlook

Investors are also looking forward to comments from Federal Reserve member Michelle Bowman, who is expected to provide insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy. Markets are increasingly confident that the Fed will adopt a less aggressive stance in the coming months, which may help ease some of the pressure from rising interest rates.

Crude Oil Prices Dip

Global oil prices slipped on Wednesday following the release of data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) indicating a rise in U.S. crude inventories. By mid-day, Brent crude was down 1%, trading at $75.28 per barrel, while WTI crude futures fell by 1.1%, settling at $70.97 per barrel. This increase in U.S. inventories has raised concerns over cooling demand in the world's largest oil consumer, further affecting market sentiment.

Q2FY25 Earnings Overview: Key Results from Zomato, Coforge, KPIT Tech, Bajaj Finance, and More

Zomato Q2FY25 Results:

Zomato, India's leading food delivery platform, increased its platform fee by 67% from ₹6 to ₹10 per order to capitalize on festive season demand. The company posted a net profit of ₹176 crore, marking a 3.9X YoY growth. However, it missed analyst expectations by 32.3%. Zomato's revenue saw a sharp rise of 68.5% YoY to ₹4,799 crore, with its Hyperpure B2B business and quick commerce segments driving growth. Despite these positive numbers, the market responded with a slight decline in Zomato’s share price, reflecting concerns about the company’s ability to meet profitability expectations.

Coforge Q2FY25 Results:

Coforge, a global leader in IT solutions, reported an 11.7% YoY increase in net profit to ₹202.2 crore. Its revenue surged 34.5% YoY to ₹3,062.3 crore, largely driven by its strong performance in the Americas and EMEA regions. The company's acquisition of Cigniti Technologies added over 4,430 employees, bringing the total headcount to 32,483. Coforge's CEO Sudhir Singh highlighted the successful integration of the Cigniti team, which contributed to revenue growth and exceeded internal expectations. Shares of Coforge rose 11.48% following the earnings announcement.

KPIT Technologies Q2FY25 Results:

KPIT Technologies, a key player in automotive software development, reported a slight 0.2% decline in net profit to ₹203.7 crore, largely due to higher tax expenses. However, the company’s revenue grew 7.8% QoQ to ₹1,471.4 crore, surpassing market expectations by 1.3%. KPIT Tech’s results indicate continued strong demand for its services in the automotive software sector, and the company remains well-positioned for future growth.

Bajaj Finance Q2FY25 Results:

Bajaj Finance, one of India’s largest non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), posted remarkable Q2FY25 results, with net profit soaring 80.8% YoY to ₹5,613.7 crore. The company’s revenue increased by 27% YoY to ₹14,491.8 crore, driven by a surge in assets under management (AUM). Bajaj Finance also featured in screeners highlighting stocks with improving book value over the past two years, making it a standout performer in the financial services sector.

Amber Enterprises Q2FY25 Results:

Amber Enterprises, a leader in the consumer durables and electronics manufacturing services (EMS) sectors, reported a dramatic turnaround in Q2FY25. The company posted a net profit of ₹19.2 crore, a significant improvement from a loss of ₹6.9 crore in the year-ago period. Its revenue jumped 81.2% YoY to ₹1,702.5 crore, driven by growth in the EMS segment. Amber Enterprises' shares reached an all-time high of ₹6,788.3 following the earnings announcement.

Persistent Systems Q2FY25 Results:

Persistent Systems delivered strong Q2FY25 results, with net profit growing by 23.4% YoY to ₹325 crore. The company’s revenue also grew by 20.2% YoY to ₹2,943.7 crore, fueled by robust performance in its banking, financial services & insurance (BFSI), healthcare & life sciences, and software segments. Persistent Systems continues to feature in screeners for stocks with increasing revenue for the past eight consecutive quarters.

Craftsman Automation Q2FY25 Results:

Craftsman Automation experienced a challenging quarter, with its net profit declining by 34.7% YoY to ₹61.7 crore, primarily due to higher sales & services and employee benefit expenses. Despite the profit dip, the company’s revenue grew by 3.1% YoY to ₹1,220.4 crore, driven by its powertrain and industrial & engineering segments. Craftsman Automation appeared in screeners featuring stocks with declining profits over the past three quarters.

Can Fin Homes Q2FY25 Results:

Can Fin Homes reported strong Q2FY25 results, with net profit growing by 33.8% YoY to ₹211.5 crore. The company’s revenue rose by 10.5% YoY to ₹962.7 crore, supported by improvements in provisions for expected credit loss and write-offs. Can Fin Homes has consistently appeared in screeners for stocks with increasing revenue over the past eight quarters.

Olectra Greentech Q2FY25 Results:

Olectra Greentech, a leader in the electric vehicle and insulator sectors, posted impressive Q2FY25 results. The company’s net profit grew by 1.6X YoY to ₹47.6 crore, while revenue surged by 70.5% YoY to ₹523.7 crore. Olectra Greentech has consistently outperformed its industry peers and continues to appear in screeners for price performance.

RailTel Corp of India and Jyoti Structures:

RailTel Corp of India secured a ₹36.7 crore order from South Eastern Railway for electronic interlocking systems and signaling arrangements. Meanwhile, Jyoti Structures won a ₹450 crore order from Adani Energy Solutions to construct a 765 kV transmission line in Gujarat. Both companies are expected to see future growth driven by these major contracts.

Other Notable Performances:

Zensar Technologies reported a 1.7% decline in net profit but still appeared in screeners for stocks with increasing revenue.

Adani Green Energy saw a 25.8% YoY decline in net profit to ₹276 crore, although its revenue grew by 37.6% YoY to ₹3,055 crore.

SRF reported a 33% YoY decline in net profit but registered 7.8% YoY growth in revenue, driven by its technical textiles and packaging film businesses.

Conclusion:

Wednesday’s stock market session highlighted the ongoing tug-of-war between different sectors as investors balance between booking profits and seeking new opportunities. While the IT sector showed early promise, financial stocks dragged the indices lower by the close of the session. Broader market trends continue to be influenced by global cues, especially the situation in the Middle East and the upcoming U.S. elections, making for a volatile trading environment.

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