Russia Says India Oil Trade Will Deepen Despite Trump Tariffs Amid Rising Geopolitical Pressure

K N Mishra

    20/Aug/2025

What’s covered under the Article:

  1. Russia reaffirms that oil cooperation with India remains unaffected by US tariffs and stresses that external pressure like Trump’s latest announcement will only deepen bilateral energy ties.

  2. Overview of Evgeny Griva and Roman Babushkin’s statements highlighting Russia’s special mechanism for uninterrupted crude supply to India and expanding trade in pharmaceuticals and machinery.

  3. Analysis of broader geopolitical implications under BRICS, the legality debate around secondary sanctions and Moscow’s confidence in long-term partnerships with New Delhi despite Western pressure.

The Russia India oil trade continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of escalating geopolitical pressure, with senior Russian officials reaffirming that their energy cooperation with India remains unaffected by the recent announcement of Trump tariffs. In fact, Russia has stated unequivocally that “more pressure means more cooperation”, underscoring a growing determination in both Moscow and New Delhi to strengthen bilateral ties in the energy sector even as external forces seek to disrupt the existing trade dynamics.

The latest round of tariff measures announced by US President Donald Trump has once again placed India in the global spotlight. Trump accused New Delhi of indirectly supporting the Ukraine war by purchasing large volumes of Russian oil and subsequently announced fresh duties on certain Indian imports to the United States. His argument is that India’s energy purchases from Russia contribute to Moscow’s war efforts. While this claim has sparked extensive media reactions and diplomatic responses, Russian officials have responded by highlighting the strategic nature of their oil trade with India and rejecting the notion that the partnership would be weakened by any unilateral sanctions or tariffs imposed by a foreign power.

Evgeny Griva, the Deputy Trade Representative of Russia in India, made a strong statement that reflects Russia’s current diplomatic stance. He emphasised that Russia and India have established a “very special mechanism” to ensure the smooth and uninterrupted supply of crude oil despite sanctions and restrictions. He added that “more pressure means more cooperation,” conveying Moscow’s confidence that the best response to external interference is to deepen cooperation with trusted partners like India. According to Griva, the mutually beneficial structure of the oil trade, which currently accounts for almost 40 per cent of India’s crude imports, is “very crucial for the Indian economy” and fully aligned with both nations’ long-term goals.

This view was echoed by Roman Babushkin, the Deputy Chief of the Russian Embassy in New Delhi, who stated that the Russian market remains fully open to Indian exporters and insisted that the two countries are on a path of increasing trade engagement. Babushkin also noted that President Trump’s additional tariffs may be suspended, based on recent international reports, although India is prepared for any outcome given the current volatility in international trade relations. He further emphasised that Russia’s structural adjustments in response to sanctions have significantly reduced the impact of European restrictions on its oil exports, allowing Moscow to maintain a steady and uninterrupted flow of crude oil to friendly countries such as India.

Russia’s position regarding secondary sanctions was also clearly articulated by Griva. He categorically described such measures as “illegal” and accused the West of applying “double standards and disrespect of national interests.” These strong comments underline growing frustration within Moscow regarding what it sees as unilateral approaches that seek to disrupt legitimate trade between sovereign nations. Russia believes that secondary sanctions are not rooted in international law and therefore lack legitimacy. In contrast, within multilateral platforms like BRICS, Russia has made it clear that it would “never impose sanctions” on fellow member states and instead seeks to promote cooperation, fair trade, and strategic partnerships.

India’s growing energy cooperation with Russia has been one of the most significant geopolitical developments in recent years. Prior to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, India sourced only a small percentage of its crude oil from Russia. However, once European nations began to cut back their imports due to the war and related sanctions, Russia redirected much of its energy exports towards Asia, with India emerging as a leading beneficiary. This shift helped India secure price-competitive and reliable supplies to meet its soaring domestic demand. Russian crude oil remains affordable and profitable for Indian refiners, ensuring that they are able to produce fuels at lower costs and respond more effectively to domestic consumption needs.

In recent months, the bilateral relationship has expanded beyond energy. India has been steadily increasing its exports of pharmaceuticals, machine tools, and chemicals to Russia, thus making the trade relationship more diversified and balanced. This reflects Moscow’s growing appetite for Indian manufacturing products, which have filled significant gaps in the Russian market created by the withdrawal of Western companies. The broader India-Russia trade relationship is therefore not solely dependent on energy flows, but includes a wide array of sectors that reinforce strategic trust and collaborative intent.

The comment that “more pressure means more cooperation” also reflects the broader strategic thinking shared by both nations. Rather than allowing unilateral sanctions to dictate their foreign policy, India and Russia are actively working together to develop independent systems and alternative trade mechanisms that reduce their dependency on Western-controlled financial institutions. These mechanisms include alternative payment systems, direct currency settlements, and logistical routes that bypass sanction-affected territories. By doing so, both countries aim to shield their bilateral trade from external disruptions while promoting a long-term, stable partnership based on sovereign decision-making and mutual benefit.

The wider geopolitical implications of this approach cannot be ignored. As global tensions continue to reshape international energy flows, many countries are seeking to diversify their supply chains and protect their national interests. India, with its rapidly growing economy and expanding energy needs, has adopted a pragmatic approach that focuses on securing the best possible deals without compromising its strategic autonomy. This has made India a key hub in the evolving multipolar order, where traditional partnerships are being re-evaluated and new alignments are emerging. For example, India’s growing energy ties with Russia have opened doors to greater collaboration in areas such as defence, infrastructure, and digital technologies within the BRICS framework and beyond.

Meanwhile, Russia views India as a trustworthy and stable partner in Asia, and the steady increase of seven times in trade volume between the two nations during recent years is evidence of this belief. Despite Western sanctions and diplomatic pressure, Russia has adapted its export routes and created a resilient supply structure which ensures that key partners like India experience no interruption. Moscow also sees India as a crucial player in countering what it considers “unjustified” Western pressure, and believes that the principles of sovereignty, non-interference, and mutual respect should form the basis of international relations.

Looking ahead, both countries have expressed an “absolutely positive” outlook regarding their trade ties. With India projected to remain one of the largest importers of energy in the world over the next several decades, there is a clear long-term alignment between New Delhi’s demand for reliable and affordable energy and Moscow’s need for stable and friendly markets. The recent attempts by Western powers to disrupt this relationship through methods such as tariffs and secondary sanctions appear unlikely to alter this trajectory. On the contrary, the shared challenges posed by these measures are drawing India and Russia even closer, prompting greater levels of trust, coordination, and economic cooperation.

Furthermore, Moscow’s refusal to bow to pressure also resonates strongly in the Indian policy community, which views energy security as a non-negotiable priority. Key policymakers in New Delhi understand that the diversification of energy imports is critical to insulating India from supply shocks and price volatility. Russian crude oil, with its favourable pricing and strategic reliability, therefore occupies a central position in India’s long-term energy planning.

In conclusion, the ongoing debate surrounding the impact of Trump’s tariffs on India’s oil trade with Russia highlights the broader struggle for strategic autonomy in an increasingly polarised world. Russian officials are confident that sanctions and pressure will only serve to deepen bilateral cooperation, rather than weaken it. By building alternative trade mechanisms, expanding cooperation under BRICS, and maintaining open and mutually beneficial markets, Russia and India are sending a strong signal that their energy partnership is resilient, future-oriented, and rooted in shared strategic interests. As energy flows continue to shift in response to geopolitical tension, the India Russia oil trade is poised to remain a defining factor in both countries’ foreign policy and economic development for many years to come.


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