Trump Trade War Impact Forces UPS Job Cuts and GM Forecast Withdrawal

Team Finance Saathi

    30/Apr/2025

What's covered under the Article:

  1. UPS to cut 20,000 jobs and GM delays earnings call amid growing trade policy instability.

  2. Over 40 major global companies including Electrolux, JetBlue, and Hilton have withdrawn forecasts.

  3. Economic indicators reflect worsening outlook with GDP expectations turning negative.

The global corporate sector is reeling from the far-reaching effects of U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war, which is now prompting sweeping job cuts, revenue outlook withdrawals, and deep economic uncertainty.

UPS Slashes Jobs to Cut Costs

United Parcel Service (UPS) has announced a massive layoff of 20,000 workers, citing the need to cut costs amid the economic instability created by President Trump’s shifting trade policies. The move marks a significant sign of distress among U.S. logistics providers, traditionally seen as bellwethers of global commerce.

UPS CEO Carol Tome said, “The world has not been faced with such enormous potential impacts to trade in more than 100 years.” Her stark assessment underscores the gravity of the situation faced by companies worldwide, especially those dependent on global supply chains and trade volumes.

GM Delays Outlook, Joins Growing List of Corporates in Limbo

General Motors (GM), one of the biggest names in the U.S. automotive industry, has pulled its 2025 financial guidance and delayed its scheduled investor call until more clarity is obtained regarding potential new tariffs.

Paul Jacobson, GM’s CFO, admitted, “We’re telling folks not to rely on the prior guidance, and we’ll update when we have more information around tariffs.” This move aligns GM with a growing number of corporations opting to abandon or slash earnings forecasts due to trade uncertainties.

Other major names in the same boat include:

  • Electrolux

  • Kraft Heinz

  • JetBlue Airways

  • Logitech

  • Hilton

  • Diageo

  • Adidas

  • Volvo Cars

  • Porsche AG

This reflects an emerging corporate consensus: Trump’s trade unpredictability is undermining long-term business planning.

40+ Companies Pull Forecasts in Just Two Weeks

According to a Reuters analysis, more than 40 global corporations have pulled or lowered their forward guidance in just the first two weeks of the first-quarter earnings season. The scale and speed of this response highlight the severe impact of the “see-sawing trade policy” from the Trump administration.

Electrolux and Porsche Voice Dire Concerns

Electrolux CEO Yannick Fierling expressed frustration with the constant policy changes: “Every single prediction has been proved to be wrong.” The Swedish appliance manufacturer had to cut its full-year outlook due to rising input costs and market unpredictability.

Porsche AG, the luxury carmaker, reported a €100 million loss due to U.S. tariffs and warned of even more severe impacts if the trade war continues.

Volvo Cars: Deep Cuts and Restructuring

Volvo Cars announced it would slash $1.8 billion in spending and restructure U.S. operations after its first-quarter profits dropped significantly. The automaker’s shares dropped 9%, reflecting investor anxiety around the company’s future.

The U.S. auto industry as a whole is facing headwinds, not only from the tariffs but also from slowing consumer demand and the complex transition to electric vehicles.

Consumer Sentiment Tanks Amid Trade Fear

Consumers are also showing signs of deep concern:

  • Job openings fell sharply in March.

  • Conference Board's consumer confidence index plunged to COVID-era lows.

  • Inflation expectations surged, leading to more cautious spending.

  • Trade deficit widened further, fueled by a rush of import activity before additional tariffs.

These indicators paint a bleak picture of the broader economic outlook.

White House Tries to Reassure But Offers Little Certainty

In response to the mounting pressure, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that Trump plans to cut tariffs on auto parts to avoid double levies and promised tax cuts and regulatory easing to revive business confidence. However, the administration continues to hold firm on tariffs against China, metal imports, and several sector-specific levies (including pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and trucking).

Despite partial rollbacks, the core uncertainty remains, leaving many CEOs unsure how to proceed.

Retailers and Consumer Brands Feeling the Heat

Amazon was forced to deny a report that it would begin listing import charges on items sold through its Amazon Haul platform, amid White House anger at suggestions that the e-commerce giant would spotlight the impact of tariffs directly to consumers.

Meanwhile, Kraft Heinz, Hilton, and Adidas all joined the chorus of companies pulling or cutting 2025 forecasts, citing tariff-related cost pressures and unpredictable consumer demand.

Adidas CEO Bjorn Gulden said that in a more stable world, they would have raised their revenue and profit forecasts after their strong quarterly results. But now, the uncertainty in global trade talks is preventing them from making any confident forward-looking statements.

A Looming GDP Contraction

Trump’s 100-day mark in office may be accompanied by an economic contraction, according to economists. What started as a projected 0.3% GDP growth for Q1 has now turned negative, with major financial institutions like:

  • Goldman Sachs predicting -0.8%,

  • Morgan Stanley forecasting -1.4%,

  • JPMorgan Chase estimating -1.75%.

If these predictions hold, Trump’s trade war may deliver the first quarterly GDP contraction since COVID-19.

Industries on Edge as Uncertainty Reigns

Whether it's airlines, automakers, tech firms, retailers, or consumer goods companies, a broad swath of the corporate world is now in reactive mode. Most are scaling back, delaying investments, or holding off on major decisions until more clarity emerges from Washington.

Many of these companies are multinational corporations with sprawling global supply chains. Sudden tariff changes affect everything from input costs to distribution logistics, leading to revenue loss, production slowdowns, and in some cases, layoffs.


Conclusion: A Call for Stability

The current wave of economic disruption is not driven by technological shocks or consumer behavior, but by policy uncertainty. Business leaders are clear: if trade rules are unclear, planning becomes impossible.

The key takeaway is that Trump’s trade war, regardless of its long-term strategic goals, has caused immediate and painful disruptions across the corporate landscape. Until there’s policy clarity, expect more forecasts to be pulled, more jobs to be cut, and more warnings from executives on quarterly earnings calls.

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