Upstart and Toast Stocks Surge on Earnings Beats, Part of Wall Street’s Post-Election Rally

Team FS

    09/Nov/2024

  • Upstart’s stock surged 46%, its best day in over three years, after a 20% revenue jump in Q3.
  • Toast rose 14%, hitting its highest close since 2021, following a better-than-expected earnings forecast.
  • Crypto-related fintech stocks, including Coinbase and Robinhood, saw notable gains after the U.S. election.
  • In an impressive rally on Wall Street, Upstart and Toast led the charge after reporting better-than-expected earnings, contributing to the overall positive momentum that followed Donald Trump’s election victory on Tuesday night. This rally saw the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all closing at record levels, with the Nasdaq up 5.7% for the week, marking its second-best performance of the year.

    Upstart’s Earnings Beat Drives 46% Surge

    Upstart, a company that leverages artificial intelligence for online lending decisions, saw its stock soar 46%, marking its best day in over three years. This impressive rally was sparked by Q3 earnings, where the company reported a 20% increase in revenue, reaching $162 million, far exceeding analysts' expectations. CEO David Girouard expressed optimism, stating, “we’re in growth mode,” signaling that Upstart is positioned for further expansion.

    The rise in Upstart’s stock price reflects investor confidence in its AI-powered lending model, which has become increasingly attractive in today’s digital economy.

    Toast’s Impressive Jump and Strong Forecast

    Meanwhile, Toast, a provider of payments technology for restaurants, also experienced a notable 14% increase in its stock price, closing at its highest level since 2021. Although Toast’s stock is still below its pandemic-era highs, it has now more than doubled this year, fueled by a better-than-expected earnings forecast. For the current quarter, Toast projected adjusted earnings between $90 million and $100 million, significantly surpassing estimates and boosting investor confidence.

    Toast’s performance has been a standout in the fintech sector, especially as restaurants continue to adapt to technological advancements in payment systems and digital commerce.

    Crypto-Linked Stocks Surge

    The rally was not limited to traditional fintech companies. Crypto-related fintechs also saw significant gains, reflecting investor optimism tied to Trump’s victory and pro-crypto sentiments in the election. Coinbase, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges, saw its stock jump 48% for the week, its best performance since January 2023. Coinbase, which was a major corporate donor in the election cycle, pledged over $75 million to pro-crypto causes, and its success in the polls was seen as a positive sign for the company’s future.

    CEO Elon Musk’s support for cryptocurrency, along with Trump’s vow to oust SEC Chair Gary Gensler, further raised expectations for favorable regulation of the crypto industry. This political shift could help companies like Coinbase in their ongoing legal battles with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over cryptocurrency regulation.

    Robinhood and Bitcoin Surge

    Robinhood, the online brokerage platform, also experienced a 27% increase in its stock price. This was driven by rising crypto trading volumes and positive market sentiment after pro-crypto candidates won various elections. Despite a Wells Notice from the SEC earlier in the year, which often precedes formal charges, Robinhood’s strong performance for the week highlights its resilience in the digital asset market.

    Meanwhile, Bitcoin hit a new intraday high above $77,300, ending the week up 11%, with Ether, Solana, and Dogecoin all posting stronger gains, further reflecting the positive momentum in crypto assets.

    Mixed Results for Other Fintechs

    Despite the overall positive trend in fintech, not all companies in the sector saw gains. Block, the parent company of Square, reported third-quarter revenue that fell short of Wall Street expectations, resulting in a slight drop in its stock price on Friday. Block’s stock rose just 3.3% for the week, underperforming the broader tech market.

    Similarly, Affirm, the buy-now-pay-later provider, beat both top and bottom-line estimates for its earnings, yet its stock still dropped by 4.7% on Friday. While the company showed growth, its stock performance did not match the broader fintech rally, leaving it slightly ahead of the Nasdaq for the week.

    Conclusion: Fintech’s Role in Wall Street’s Post-Election Rally

    This week’s rally highlights the growing strength of fintech stocks, with companies like Upstart, Toast, and Coinbase driving market gains. Despite mixed results from some players, the broader tech sector, particularly those with strong ties to crypto, remains a key driver of Wall Street’s bullish sentiment post-election. As investors continue to react to political shifts and earnings beats, fintech companies are increasingly seen as central to the digital economy’s evolution, offering new opportunities for growth and innovation.

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