Assembly by-election results for five key constituencies across four Indian states began trickling in on Monday, June 23, 2025, with early trends showing the United Democratic Front’s (UDF) Aryadan Shoukath leading comfortably in Nilambur, Kerala, and Aam Aadmi Party’s (AAP) Sanjeev Aurora ahead in Ludhiana West, Punjab.

The counting of votes began at 8 a.m., following polling on June 19. The byelections were conducted in the Kadi (SC) and Visavadar constituencies in Gujarat, Nilambur in Kerala, Ludhiana West in Punjab, and Kaliganj in West Bengal.

Celebrations in Nilambur

In Nilambur, where voter turnout was the highest at 73.26%, UDF candidate Aryadan Shoukath has established a strong lead of over 7,000 votes, according to the latest Election Commission figures. Jubilant UDF workers have begun celebrations, as the outcome is seen as a crucial morale booster ahead of the general elections.

The Nilambur seat saw a direct face-off between the ruling LDF and UDF, making it a symbolic battleground in Kerala. The UDF’s early advantage may indicate renewed support in the Malappuram region, considered a traditional UDF stronghold.

Low Turnout, But AAP Leads in Punjab

In Ludhiana West, where the voter turnout was the lowest among the five seats at 51.33%, AAP’s Sanjeev Aurora is maintaining a slim but steady lead, according to early trends. The seat witnessed a multi-cornered contest between AAP, Congress, and BJP.

Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann’s AAP government has staked high prestige on this seat, with Aurora seen as a loyal party foot soldier. If AAP manages to retain or expand its lead, it will solidify its urban voter base in one of the state’s largest cities.

Modest Turnout in Gujarat; Close Contest Expected

In Gujarat, both Kadi (SC) and Visavadar constituencies recorded moderate voter turnouts at 54.49% and 54.61% respectively. Both seats are seeing a tight race between the BJP and Congress. Early leads were oscillating between the two parties, with no clear margin emerging yet.

The ruling BJP, which has a strong organisational hold in Gujarat, hopes to retain its dominance, while the Congress is aiming to revive its position in rural and semi-urban belts.

Kaliganj Shows Healthy Voter Participation

In West Bengal, Kaliganj constituency witnessed a healthy 69.89% voter turnout. The main contest here is between the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the BJP, with the CPI(M) also trying to gain lost ground.

Early trends show a tight contest between the TMC and BJP, with the former enjoying a slight edge as per initial booth-level counting data. TMC's campaign, led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, focused heavily on local issues and welfare schemes.

Political Implications

The bypoll outcomes, though limited in number, carry broader political implications, especially for Kerala and Punjab, where ruling parties are trying to defend their turf. For national parties like Congress and BJP, even a single seat win or loss is seen as an indicator of voter sentiment ahead of the 2026 general elections.

In Kerala, a UDF victory could revive its momentum and pose a direct challenge to the LDF. Meanwhile, in Punjab, AAP would hope that a win in Ludhiana West cements its grip over urban constituencies and dampens the Congress’s comeback narrative.

Voter Turnout Overview

As counting progresses, final results are expected to be declared by late afternoon, which will offer a clearer picture of the political mood across regions and how it may impact party strategies for the coming months.

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